MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – US Daily Brief 05-05-22

Executive Summary:

• The explosive Supreme Court leak of a forthcoming decision to roll back Roe vs Wade has already fundamentally changed the shape of the 2022 midterm elections. ‘By now, every single woman running for Congress has definitely started on a choice ad.’
• Reactions from the Senate on yesterday's Fed decision.
• Pentagon spokesperson John Kirby said yesterday that ‘Russian troops have not made the kind of progress in the eastern and southern regions of Ukraine that they have wanted to make.’
• Former President Donald Trump has claimed credit for Republican victories in primary elections this week. In response President Biden called his 'MAGA' organisation 'the most extreme political organisation that’s existed in American history, in recent American history.’
• Sweden’s Foreign Minister Ann Linde said she had received 'assurances' from US Secretary of State Antony Blinken on a potential NATO membership bid in a meeting at the State Department yesterday.
• Blinken has tested positive for COVID-19 casting doubt upon his anticipated China speech scheduled for today.
• Poll of the Day: 'Only 18% of Americans believe that the United States is ahead of China in chip manufacturing.

MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – US Daily Brief 05-05-22.pdf