MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 07-12-22

Executive Summary:

• Senator Raphael Warnock (D-GA) has won re-election in the Georgia Senate runoff - the final act of the 2022 midterm election cycle.
• Congressional negotiations are no closer to a reaching an agreement on a “topline” spending number to move forward with a Fiscal Year 23 omnibus.
• Democrat lawmakers have dropped COVID-19 vaccine mandates and Senator Joe Manchin’s (D-WV) energy permitting reform from the must-pass National Defence Authorisation Act in response to Republican threats to block the bill.
• The Trump Organization was yesterday found guilty of 17 counts of financial crimes, including tax fraud, although prosecutors declined to indict former President Donald Trump.
• The United States and Australia conducted their annual AUSMIN ministerial consultations yesterday with talks centering around military collaboration.
• Secretary of State Antony Blinken has responded to a letter from Senator Josh Hawley (R-MO) which argued that US aid to Ukraine would better serve US national security interests if it was diverted to Taiwan.
• The US is confident that Turkey will drop its block on the NATO membership bids of Sweden and Finland.
• Poll of the Day: Concerns over COVID-19 continue to fall.

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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 07-12-22 .pdf