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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – US Daily Brief 11-05-22

Executive Summary:

  • The Senate will vote today on a bill to codify the 1973 Supreme Court ruling Roe vs Wade into law.
  • Early signs suggest that the leaked SCOTUS ruling may have had some influence on the approval rating of President Joe Biden. He is currently recording his strongest approval since a State of the Union bump in March.
  • The US State Department has released a statement on Russian cyber attacks committed against Ukraine.
  • Mixed results for former president Donald Trump in the Nebraska and West Virginia primaries. Trump’s candidate won in West Virginia’s 2nd District but his candidate, Charlies Herbster, lost the governor’s primary in Nebraska.
  • ‘Mr. Herbster is the first candidate endorsed by Mr. Trump to lose a Republican primary in 2022. Many more Trump-endorsed candidates are facing stiff headwinds in coming primaries, starting with contests for governor in Idaho next week and in Georgia on May 24.’
  • Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro is not planning to attend the Summit of the Americas next month in Los Angeles raising the prospect of a broader regional boycott after Mexico’s president Manuel López Obrador said that he would not attend if Cuba, Venezuela, and Nicaragua are excluded.
  • Poll of the Day: The Biden administration is still enjoying broad support for its response to the war in Ukraine.


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