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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – US Daily Brief 24-01-22

Executive Summary:

  • The future of the Democrats' flagship policy item Build Back Better is now facing complications from the progressive wing of the Senate Democratic caucus.
  • Democrats are increasingly wary of a low turnout amongst black voters in November’s midterms. If the Democrats are to hold onto their razor thin majority in the House, they will need a strong turnout from black voters.
  • Moderate GOP Rep Liz Cheney (R-WY) looks increasingly likely to lose a primary race to Harriet Hageman in Wyoming. Cheney is the most high-profile member of the GOP to maintain consistent opposition to former President Donald Trump.
  • The Innovation and Competition Act could reach the House as early as next week. The bill seeks to boost federal spending on semiconductors to challenge Chinese supremacy in the industry.
  • Tensions in Ukraine continue to intensify. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken will meet EU foreign ministers today at the EU Foreign Affairs Council in Brussels.
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