MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – US Daily Brief 30-05-22

Executive Summary:

• China and Russia have blocked a US led drive at the United Nations to sanction North Korea in response to a series of ballistic missile tests. Ambassador Thomas-Greenfield: ‘The vetoes today are dangerous. Those members today have taken a stance that not only undermines the Security Council... but also undermines our collective security.'
• Republican strategists are increasingly doubting the ability of former president Donald Trump to influence the midterm elections without the reach of social media to push his message: ‘Without the White House, social media or a campaign, Trump doesn’t have as much power, and that’s reflected in his mediocre endorsement record, the fact that other Republican leaders don’t defer to him and the decreasing amounts of media coverage.’
• The week, former House Speaker Paul Ryan will campaign on behalf of Rep. Tom Rice (R-SC), one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump: A direct challenge to the former president who has endorsed Rice's challenger Rep. Russell Fry.
• Tomorrow, President Biden will welcome Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern of New Zealand to the White House for the first visit of a leader from New Zealand since 2014.
• Poll of the Day: Rep. Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) is the overwhelming favourite to take over the House Speaker job from Nancy Pelosi (D-CA).

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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – US Daily Brief 30-05-22 .pdf