MNI: SPAIN NOV SRVCS PMI 53.1 (FCAST 53.3); OCT 54.9

MNI BRIEF: China Must Quicken Reforms To Boost Domestic Demand

MNI: PBOC Net Drains CNY227 Bln via OMO Wednesday

MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Lower At 7.1934 Weds; -1.91% Y/Y

MNI BRIEF: Fed's Goolsbee Sees Rates Down 'Fair Amount' In '25

MNI BRIEF: December Fed Cut 'Absolutely Not' Off Table - Daly

MNI: AUSTRALIA Q3 GDP +0.3% Q/Q

EZ/UK T-Bill Calendar: Greece, EU Auction on Wednesday

EZ/UK Bond Supply Calendar: UK, Germany Auction on Wednesday

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

© 1982-2024 MNI. All rights reserved.
Terms | Privacy
Log Out
Free Trial

MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS-Week Ahead 15-21 August

Executive Summary

Monday 15 August:

  • US-China: A second US Congressional Delegation (CODEL) visit to Taiwan in August has sparked another round of Chinese military drills off the coast of the island. The five-strong delegation, led by Senator Ed Markey (D-CA) includes four Democrats and one Republican. They will meet with President Tsai Ing-wen as part of the unannounced two-day visit. Beijing severely criticised the visit, stating that "Members of the US Congress should act in consistence with the US government's one-China policy."
  • Indo-Pacific: The US and Indonesia conclude the Super Garuda Shield 2022 military exercises, held over the latter’s Sumatra and Riau islands over the past two weeks. The drills have included forces from Japan, Australia, and Singapore, and the largely amphibious exercises were the largest since the Garuda Shield drills began in 2007. Comes months after Jakarta and Beijing saw an uptick in tensions amid disputes over territorial waters. US continues to try to draw Indonesia towards the pro-democratic alliance in the region, but President Joko Widodo maintains broad balance between Washington, D.C. and Beijing.
  • Iran:15 August marks the unofficial deadline for Tehran to accept or reject a final draft text from the European Union for a renewed nuclear deal (the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, JCPoA). The chances of Iran accepting the deal are seen as being on a knife-edge, with Brussels and European signatories pressing for a deal, but Tehran and Washington, D.C seen as less concerned about reaching an agreement swiftly.
  • Nordics:Norwegian PM Jonas Gahr Støre hosts his fellow Nordic heads of government in Oslo, as well as German Chancellor Olaf Scholz. The leaders are due to discuss issues including the “security policy situation in Europe and relations with Russia, the new security policy situation in the Nordic region with Sweden and Finland in NATO, cooperation in Northern Europe on the green transition, and energy security” according to the Norwegian government. A bilateral between Støre and Scholz will then focus on “the war in Ukraine, European solidarity and cooperation, and German-Norwegian cooperation on energy security and green industrial development”. Presser with Nordic PM’s and Scholz takes place 1715CET (1115ET, 1615BST).
Full article PDF attached below:

MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS-Week Ahead 15-21 August.pdf

CEEMEAPolitical Market NewsPolitical Risk
CEEMEAPolitical Market NewsPolitical Risk

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.