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MNI POLITICAL RISK - Deal On Border Political Risk For Biden

Executive Summary:

  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has departed Washington DC without noticeably influencing the process to unlock more funding for Kyiv. Ukraine funding remains hinged on a contentious deal to overhaul US-Mexico border policy and, with the GOP position entrenched, a deal is only likely to come via major Democratic concessions.
  • The question is: Can President Biden strike a deal and avoid a major collapse in support from his voter base ahead of the 2024 presidential election?
  • Biden yesterday offered his most overt criticism of Israel’s strategy in Gaza. White House NSA Jake Sullivan will travel to Israel on Thursday and Friday to convey concerns about the timeframe for Israel’s campaign against Hamas and advocate for Biden’s vision for a two-state solution.
  • Democrats registered a major win yesterday when a New York Court directed the independent redistricting commission to propose Congressional boundaries - a decision which could determine control of the House next year.
  • House Republicans are expected to hold a vote today to formalise an impeachment inquiry into President Biden.
  • Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley’s longshot track to winning the Republican presidential nomination remains viable after she picked up a critical nomination yesterday.
  • The House Select Committee on China adopted a report yesterday which contains nearly 150 policy recommendations to "reset" the US-China economic relationship.
  • Poll of the Day: Only 32% of Americans say that Congress should authorise new funding for both Israel and Ukraine.

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