MNI POLITICAL RISK - Israel's Mixed Signals On Ceasefire Plan

Executive Summary:

• Early analysis from pollsters appears to support a prevailing view that former President Donald Trump’s conviction in the Manhattan “hush money” trial will deliver a moderate polling boost to President Biden.
• It’s a short week for Congress with lawmakers set to depart Wednesday. Today, the House Rules Committee will mark-up the first Fiscal Year 2025 spending bill and take up legislation sanctioning the International Criminal Court if it approves arrest warrants for Israeli government officials.
• The Israeli government offered mixed signals to a three-phase proposal for a Gaza ceasefire which President Biden outlined on Friday. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu appeared to pour cold water on the proposal but White House spokesperson John Kirby said the Biden administration has "every expectation" that Israel will agree to the proposal if Hamas accepts the terms.
• The four leaders of Congress sent a letter to Netanyahu yesterday inviting him visit Capitol Hill and address a joint session of Congress.
• The White House is expected to announce a new set of executive orders on border security this week.
• Poll of the Day: Republicans have a 56% chance of retaining House, - reflecting a “dead heat for the chamber.”

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MNIPOLRISKUSDaily030624.pdf