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MNI Political Risk Publishes Election Preview

BRAZIL

MNI's Political Risk team has published a preview ahead of the 2 October general election. The presidential election has been the market focus leading up to the election and, although the election remains competitive, former president Luiz Inácio “Lula” da Silva, who has sustained a double-digit polling advantage over incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro for much of 2022, is expected to retake office for a third term.

  • In this preview we offer a briefing on the Brazilian electoral system, a guide on the main parties contesting the election, an opinion polling chartpack, post-election scenario analysis (with assigned probabilities) and sell-side analyst views.
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MNI Political Risk Analysis - Brazil First Round Election Preview.pdf

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