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MNI RBA WATCH: Board To Hold, Could Signal Shift In Stance

The RBA board will meet over Nov 4-5.

MNI (SYDNEY) - The Reserve Bank of Australia board is likely to hold its 4.35% cash rate steady on Nov 5, but while it could dial back some hawkish language, it is uncertain that fresh forecasts within the November Statement on Monetary Policy will provide enough confidence in a return to target for inflation for it to signal that cuts are coming soon. 

Third-quarter data showed underlying inflation falling in line with predictions, while September’s labour indicators continued to illustrate a resilient employment market. Other economic releases have shown weakness developing within retail sales, household spending and house prices, which should encourage the board that its strategy remains on the "narrow path." 

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MNI (SYDNEY) - The Reserve Bank of Australia board is likely to hold its 4.35% cash rate steady on Nov 5, but while it could dial back some hawkish language, it is uncertain that fresh forecasts within the November Statement on Monetary Policy will provide enough confidence in a return to target for inflation for it to signal that cuts are coming soon. 

Third-quarter data showed underlying inflation falling in line with predictions, while September’s labour indicators continued to illustrate a resilient employment market. Other economic releases have shown weakness developing within retail sales, household spending and house prices, which should encourage the board that its strategy remains on the "narrow path." 

Keep reading...Show less