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September 05, 2017 05:04 GMT
MNI Survey Of China Economic Forecasts
MNI (Singapore)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified.
New Loans TSF
CPI PPI M2 Aug. Aug.
Aug. Aug. End-Aug. CNY Bln CNY Bln
------------------------------------------------------------
Median 1.7 5.7 9.1 950 1325
High 1.8 6.0 9.5 1200 1600
Low 1.3 4.5 8.8 700 1100
Mean 1.7 5.6 9.1 930.8 1325
No. 21 21 19 19 12
Previous 1.4 5.5 9.2 826 1220
BAML 1.7 5.7 9.3 900 1600
BankComm 1.6 5.7 9.4 950 na
Capital Economics 1.7 5.6 9.1 900 1400
CITIC Sec 1.7 5.9 9.1 850 na
CICC 1.7 5.9 9.2 1200 1500
China Sec 1.7 5.9 9.1 850 na
Guotai Junan 1.8 6.0 8.8 850 1300
Huachang Sec 1.6 5.6 9.3 950 na
Huatai Sec 1.6 5.8 9.2 1000 1400
Industrial Bank 1.8 5.7 9.2 950 1250
ING 1.8 5.3 9.1 1075 na
Macquarie 1.7 5.8 9.2 1000 na
Merchant Sec 1.6 5.8 8.8 700 1100
Mizuho 1.6 5.7 9.2 900 na
Natwest 1.6 5.1 na na na
Nomura 1.6 5.8 8.9 850 1150
Sinolink Sec 1.7 5.6 9.1 900 1150
Southwest Sec 1.3 4.5 9.5 na na
Shenwan Hongyuan 1.6 5.5 9.1 950 1400
Standard Chartered 1.7 5.7 9.0 960 1300
UBS 1.6 5.6 na 950 1350
Trade Bal Exports Imports
Aug. Aug. Aug. Investment Output Retail Sales
$Bln $ % $ % Jan-Aug. Aug. Aug.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 48.4 6.5 10.0 8.2 6.6 10.5
High 54.6 11.1 15.5 8.5 6.8 10.8
Low 34.0 4.7 6.5 8.0 6.0 10.0
Mean 47.8 6.9 10.0 8.2 6.6 10.4
No. 17 21 21 19 20 18
Previous 46.7 7.2 11.0 8.3 6.4 10.4
BAML 54.6 9.0 9.0 8.1 6.8 10.6
BankComm 53.0 9.0 10.0 8.0 6.2 10.5
Capital Economics 34.0 8.0 10.0 8.5 6.0 10.5
CITIC Sec na 5.0 7.0 8.3 6.6 10.2
CICC 51.0 8.2 10.5 8.2 6.5 10.6
China Sec na 5.0 7.0 8.3 6.6 10.2
Guotai Junan 47.5 7.6 11.0 8.0 6.5 10.8
Huachang Sec 51.7 5.6 6.5 8.2 6.5 10.5
Huatai Sec 45.0 6.0 11.5 8.3 6.8 10.0
Industrial
Bank 49.0 9.0 13.0 8.3 6.5 10.4
ING 45.7 5.1 10.0 8.2 6.2 10.1
Macquarie 45.1 6.0 9.0 8.1 6.5 10.3
Merchant Sec 49.2 6.5 9.5 8.2 6.7 na
Mizuho 46.7 6.0 10.0 8.3 6.7 10.5
Natwest 50.0 4.7 6.5 na na na
Nomura 44.7 5.0 10.0 8.3 6.8 10.2
Sinolink Sec na 7.0 10.5 8.2 6.6 10.4
Southwest Sec na 11.1 15.5 na 6.7 10.6
Shenwan Hongyuan 48.6 8.0 12.0 8.2 6.7 10.6
Standard
Chartered 48.4 8.0 12.0 8.2 6.7 10.6
UBS 48.3 6.0 9.5 8.1 6.6 na
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
August trade data due for release on Sep. 8.
August CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130 GMT Sep. 9.
August industrial output, retail sales and fixed-asset investment due for
release at 1000 local/0200 GMT on Sep 14.
August money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between September 11 and 15. Date and time uncertain.
--MNI BEIJING Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: john.carter@mni-news.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: beijing@mni-news.com
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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