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December 08, 2017 04:16 GMT
MNI Survey Of China Economic Forecasts
MNI (Singapore)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified
New Loans TSF
CPI PPI M2 Nov Nov
Nov Nov End-Nov (CNY Bln) (CNY Bln)
----------------------------------------------------------------
Median 1.8 5.8 8.9 800.0 1290.0
High 2.0 7.0 9.2 979 1847
Low 1.5 5.5 8.7 660.0 900.0
Mean 1.8 5.9 8.9 814.9 1299.4
No. 21 21 19 20 13
Previous 1.9 6.9 8.8 663.2 1040
ANZ na na na na na
BAML 1.9 5.7 9.0 800.0 1400.0
Bank of Comm 1.8 5.6 9.1 850 na
CICC 1.9 5.8 9.0 800-850 1000-1100
Guohai Sec 1.8 5.8 na 850.0 na
Guotai Junan Securities 1.8 5.7 8.7 750.0 900.0
HSBC 1.5 6.1 9.2 800 1067
Huachuang Sec 1.8 6.0 8.9 800 na
Huatai Sec 1.8 5.8 9.0 900 1500
Industrial Bank 1.6 5.8 8.9 800 1250
ING 1.5 6.5 9.0 795 na
Merchants Sec 2.0 5.8 9.0 660 900
Minsheng Research 1.9 5.9 9.0 800 na
Mizuho 1.7 5.5 8.9 750
Moody's 1.8 6.3 na na na
Morgan Stanley 1.9 6.0 8.8 850.0 1330.0
Nomura 1.8 6.2 8.9 800 1200
Peking U 1.9 5.9 8.8 800
Shenwan Hongyuan 1.9 5.8 8.9 850 1600
Southwest Sec 2.0 6.0 8.8 750 na
Standard
Chartered 1.8 5.5 9.1 979 1847
UBS 1.9 5.8 8.8 900 na
FAI Industrial Production Retail Sales
Jan-Nov Nov Nov
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 7.2 6.1 10.3
High 7.3 6.4 10.8
Low 7.0 5.9 9.8
Mean 7.2 6.1 10.3
No. 19 19 19
Previous 7.3 6.2 10
ANZ na na na
BAML 7.1 6.1 10.3
Bank of Comm 7.2 6.1 10.1
CICC 7.2 6.1 10.5
Guohai Sec 7.3 6.0 10.2
Guotai Junan Securities 7.0 6.2 10.5
HSBC na na na
Huachuang Sec 7.1 6.1 10.3
Huatai Sec 7.3 6.0 9.8
Industrial Bank 7.2 6.0 10.4
ING 7.2 6.3 10.5
Merchants Sec 7.2 6.2 10.8
Minsheng Research 7.0 6.1 9.8
Mizuho 7.2 6.4 10.3
Moody's na na na
Morgan Stanley 7.2 6.1 10.3
Nomura 7.3 6.1 9.9
Peking U 7.1 6.0 9.9
Shenwan Hongyuan 7.0 6.0 10.5
Southwest Sec 7.1 5.9 10.5
Standard
Chartered 7.1 6.4 10.3
UBS 7.2 6.2 10.4
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
Nov. trade data due for release on Dec. 8, time uncertain.
Nov. CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130 GMT Dec. 9; Nov.
industrial output, retail sales and ytd fixed-asset investment due for release
at 1000 local/0200 GMT on Dec. 14.
Nov. money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between Dec. 11 and Dec. 13. Date and time uncertain.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: beijing@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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