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April 15, 2019 17:04 GMT
MNI Survey of US Economic Forecasts: Apr 18 - Apr 19
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Apr 15/17:06 EST Apr 15
Apr 18 Apr 18 Apr 18 Apr 18 Apr 19 Apr 19
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Phil Fed
Initial Mfg
Jobless Mfg Business Leading Housing Building
Claims Survey Inventories Index Starts Permits
Apr 13
Data For wk Apr Feb Mar Mar Mar
Denomination K Index % Ch % Ch M M
Median Forecast
** 206 11.0 0.3 0.4 1.230 1.296
High Forecast 218 16.4 0.5 0.6 1.270 1.319
Low Forecast 195 8.0 0.0 0.1 1.160 1.255
Mean 205 11.8 0.3 0.3 1.225 1.293
Standard
Deviation 6.3 2.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
No. of Responses 10 16 10 9 21 14
Amherst Pierpont 207 NA NA NA 1.230 NA
BofA/Merrill
Lynch 195 9.0 NA NA 1.235 1.280
Bank of the West 206 11.0 0.4 0.4 1.270 1.295
Bayerische
Landesbank NA 10.0 NA NA 1.240 NA
BMO NA 11.0 0.2 0.2 1.250 1.309
Capital
Economics NA NA NA 0.4 1.160 NA
CIBC NA NA NA NA 1.247 1.289
Credit Suisse NA NA NA NA 1.200 NA
Deka NA 15.0 NA NA NA 1.280
Deutsche Bank NA 14.0 0.3 0.6 1.250 1.300
FT Advisors 204 10.2 0.5 NA 1.232 NA
Goldman Sachs 205 13.0 NA NA 1.232 1.300
HSBC 218 11.0 0.2 NA 1.230 NA
ING Group NA NA NA NA NA NA
Intesa Sanpaolo NA 12.0 NA NA NA 1.295
J.P. Morgan 206 16.4 NA NA 1.204 1.255
Jefferies
Economics NA 11.0 0.0 0.1 1.225 1.300
Lloyds Bank 210 12.5 0.3 0.4 1.218 1.319
Morgan Stanley NA NA NA NA 1.189 1.297
Nomura NA 8.0 NA NA 1.175 NA
RBC NA NA NA NA NA NA
SocGen NA NA NA NA 1.200 NA
TD Securities NA NA NA NA NA NA
UBS 195 15.0 0.1 0.4 1.250 1.285
Umaryland 204 10.0 0.3 0.3 1.270 1.300
Wells Fargo NA NA 0.5 0.3 1.228 NA
** Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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