MNI Survey of US Economic Forecasts: August 15

                      Aug 15    Aug 15  Aug 15  Aug 15  Aug 15  Aug 15

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                          Ex  Non-farm   Labor  Empire   Phila     Ind

                     Mtr Veh      Prod   Costs   Index     Fed    Prod

Data For                 Jul        Q2      Q2     Aug     Aug     Jul

Denomination               %         %       %   Index   Index       %

Median Forecast **       0.4       1.5     1.9     3.0    10.0     0.1

High Forecast            0.6       2.1     3.3    11.2    16.4     0.5

Low Forecast             0.2       1.0     1.2    -2.0     5.0    -0.3

Mean                     0.4       1.5     2.1     3.1    10.1     0.1

Standard Deviation       0.1       0.3     0.6     3.6     3.6     0.2

No. of Responses          15        15      14      11      12      21

Amherst Pierpont         0.6       1.4     3.3      NA      NA    -0.1

BofA/Merrill Lynch        NA       2.0      NA      NA    13.0     0.0

Bank of the West         0.3       1.2     2.0     0.0     8.0    -0.1

Barclays Capital          NA        NA      NA      NA      NA      NA

BMO                      0.6       1.6     2.6     3.0    10.0     0.1

Capital Economics         NA        NA     1.8      NA      NA    -0.1

CIBC                     0.3       1.3      NA      NA      NA     0.1

Credit Suisse            0.5        NA      NA      NA      NA    -0.3

Deka                     0.6       1.6     1.6    -2.0     6.0     0.0

Deutsche Bank            0.3       2.0     1.2     4.5    10.0     0.5

FT Advisors              0.3       2.1     2.5     6.0    16.4     0.2

HSBC                     0.4       1.4     1.8     4.0     9.5     0.5

ING Group                 NA        NA      NA      NA      NA     0.2

J.P. Morgan               NA        NA      NA    11.2    15.0     0.0

Jefferies Economics      0.5       1.5     1.5     0.0     5.0     0.3

Lloyds Bank               NA       1.0     1.8     5.5    12.5     0.2

Market Securities         NA        NA      NA      NA      NA      NA

Mizuho Securities         NA        NA      NA      NA      NA      NA

Morgan Stanley            NA       1.6     1.2      NA      NA     0.3

MUFG Union Bank           NA        NA      NA      NA      NA      NA

Natwest                   NA        NA      NA      NA      NA      NA

Nomura                   0.4        NA      NA    -1.0     5.0     0.2

Northern Trust            NA        NA      NA      NA      NA      NA

NTL Bank Canada          0.2        NA      NA      NA      NA      NA

Pantheon Macro            NA        NA      NA      NA      NA      NA

Rabobank                  NA        NA      NA      NA      NA      NA

RBC                       NA        NA      NA      NA      NA      NA

Scotiabank               0.2       1.4      NA      NA      NA     0.1

SocGen                    NA        NA     2.3      NA      NA     0.2

Standard Chartered        NA        NA      NA      NA      NA      NA

Stone McCarthy            NA        NA      NA      NA      NA      NA

TD Securities             NA        NA      NA      NA      NA      NA

UBS                       NA        NA      NA      NA      NA      NA

Umaryland                0.5       1.0     2.8     2.5    11.1     0.3

Wells Fargo              0.4       1.7     2.4      NA      NA    -0.1

--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: brooke.migdon@marketnews.com

[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]