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July 23, 2019 15:24 GMT
MNI Survey of US Economic Forecasts: July 24-26
Jul 24 Jul 25 Jul 25 Jul 25 Jul 26 Jul 26
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
New Init Dur Ex Real Chain
Homes Claims Orders Trans GDP Prices
Data For Jun 20-Jul Jun Jun Q2 (a) Q2 (a)
Denomination K K % % % %
Median Forecast ** 660 220 0.8 0.2 1.8 1.9
High Forecast 686 222 1.5 0.7 2.8 2.3
Low Forecast 582 210 -1.5 -0.5 1.2 1.4
Mean 659 218 0.6 0.2 1.8 1.9
Standard Deviation 20.1 3.2 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.3
No. of Responses 22 12 24 23 24 9
Amherst Pierpont 670 222 0.0 0.1 2.8 NA
BofA/Merrill Lynch NA 220 NA 0.0 NA NA
Bank of the West 658 220 0.7 0.2 2.0 NA
Bayerische Landesbank NA NA 0.7 0.1 1.7 NA
BMO 661 220 -1.5 0.3 1.5 2.2
Capital Economics 645 NA -0.5 0.3 1.6 NA
CIBC 676 NA 1.3 0.5 1.6 2.0
Commerzbank 680 215 1.0 0.1 1.7 NA
Credit Suisse 660 NA 0.5 0.2 1.9 2.3
Deutsche Bank 670 NA 0.3 0.3 1.5 1.4
FT Advisors 641 217 0.8 0.2 1.8 1.9
Goldman Sachs 686 220 -0.3 -0.1 1.4 NA
HSBC 660 NA 1.3 0.3 1.9 2.2
ING Group NA NA 0.3 0.3 1.8 NA
Intesa Sanpaolo 660 NA 1.5 0.2 1.7 NA
J.P. Morgan 660 220 0.2 -0.5 1.2 NA
Lloyds Bank 657 220 0.9 0.5 1.8 1.8
Morgan Stanley 658 NA NA NA NA NA
Nomura NA NA 1.5 -0.1 2.1 NA
NTL Bank Canada 675 NA 1.5 0.3 1.5 NA
RBC 675 210 0.5 0.7 2.0 NA
Scotiabank 660 NA 0.0 0.2 1.9 NA
SocGen 655 NA 1.0 0.0 1.5 1.8
Standard Chartered 582 NA 0.8 NA 1.8 1.9
UBS 658 220 0.8 0.2 1.8 NA
Umaryland 645 216 0.8 NA 2.2 NA
--MNI Washington Bureau; tel: +1 202-371-2121; email: kevin.kastner@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]
To read the full story
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Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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