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Free AccessMNI Eurozone Inflation Insight – November 2024
MNI ASI OPEN: Fed Bostic Still Confident of Waning Inflation
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Tsy Curves Twist Flatter
MNI TEXT: FOMC Lowers Rates to 0%-0.25%; To Buy Tsys, MBS
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The FOMC released the following statement at 5 p.m. ET
Sunday.
The coronavirus outbreak has harmed communities and disrupted economic
activity in many countries, including the United States. Global financial
conditions have also been significantly affected. Available economic data show
that the U.S. economy came into this challenging period on a strong footing.
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January
indicates that the labor market remained strong through February and economic
activity rose at a moderate rate. Job gains have been solid, on average, in
recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Although household
spending rose at a moderate pace, business fixed investment and exports remained
weak. More recently, the energy sector has come under stress. On a 12-month
basis, overall inflation and inflation for items other than food and energy are
running below 2 percent. Market-based measures of inflation compensation have
declined; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little
changed.
Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster
maximum employment and price stability. The effects of the coronavirus will
weigh on economic activity in the near term and pose risks to the economic
outlook. In light of these developments, the Committee decided to lower the
target range for the federal funds rate to 0 to 1/4 percent. The Committee
expects to maintain this target range until it is confident that the economy has
weathered recent events and is on track to achieve its maximum employment and
price stability goals. This action will help support economic activity, strong
labor market conditions, and inflation returning to the Committee's symmetric 2
percent objective.
The Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming
information for the economic outlook, including information related to public
health, as well as global developments and muted inflation pressures, and will
use its tools and act as appropriate to support the economy. In determining the
timing and size of future adjustments to the stance of monetary policy, the
Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its
maximum employment objective and its symmetric 2 percent inflation objective.
This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including
measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and
inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international
developments.
The Federal Reserve is prepared to use its full range of tools to support
the flow of credit to households and businesses and thereby promote its maximum
employment and price stability goals. To support the smooth functioning of
markets for Treasury securities and agency mortgage-backed securities that are
central to the flow of credit to households and businesses, over coming months
the Committee will increase its holdings of Treasury securities by at least $500
billion and its holdings of agency mortgage-backed securities by at least $200
billion. The Committee will also reinvest all principal payments from the
Federal Reserve's holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities
in agency mortgage-backed securities. In addition, the Open Market Desk has
recently expanded its overnight and term repurchase agreement operations. The
Committee will continue to closely monitor market conditions and is
prepared to adjust its plans as appropriate.
Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C.
Williams, Vice Chair; Michelle W. Bowman; Lael Brainard; Richard H. Clarida;
Patrick Harker; Robert S. Kaplan; Neel Kashkari; and Randal K. Quarles. Voting
against this action was Loretta J. Mester, who was fully supportive of all of
the actions taken to promote the smooth functioning of markets and the flow of
credit to households and businesses but preferred to reduce the target range for
the federal funds rate to 1/2 to 3/4 percent at this meeting.
In a related set of actions to support the credit needs of households and
businesses, the Federal Reserve announced measures related to the discount
window, intraday credit, bank capital and liquidity buffers, reserve
requirements, and -- in coordination with other central banks -- the U.S. dollar
liquidity swap line arrangements. More information can be found on the Federal
Reserve Board's website.
Decisions Regarding Monetary Policy Implementation
The Federal Reserve has made the following decisions to implement the
monetary policy stance announced by the Federal Open Market Committee in its
statement on March 15, 2020:
-The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System voted unanimously to
set the interest rate paid on required and excess reserve balances at 0.10
percent, effective March 16, 2020.
-As part of its policy decision, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to
authorize and direct the Open Market Desk at the Federal Reserve Bank of New
York, until instructed otherwise, to execute transactions in the System Open
Market Account in accordance with the following domestic policy directive:
"Effective March 16, 2020, the Federal Open Market Committee directs the Desk to
undertake open market operations as necessary to maintain the federal funds rate
in a target range of 0 to 1/4 percent. The Committee directs the Desk to
increase over coming months the System Open Market Account holdings of Treasury
securities and agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) by at least $500 billion
and by at least $200 billion,
respectively. The Committee instructs the Desk to conduct these purchases at a
pace appropriate to support the smooth functioning of markets for Treasury
securities and agency MBS.
The Committee also directs the Desk to continue conducting term and
overnight repurchase agreement operations to ensure that the supply of reserves
remains ample and to support the smooth functioning of short-term U.S. dollar
funding markets. In addition, the Committee directs the Desk to conduct
overnight reverse repurchase operations (and reverse repurchase operations with
maturities of more than one day when necessary to
accommodate weekend, holiday, or similar trading conventions) at an offering
rate of 0.00 percent, in amounts limited only by the value of Treasury
securities held outright in the System Open Market Account that are available
for such operations and by a percounterparty limit of $30 billion per day.
The Committee directs the Desk to continue rolling over at auction all
principal payments from the Federal Reserve's holdings of Treasury securities
and to reinvest all principal payments from the Federal Reserve's holdings of
agency debt and agency mortgage backed securities received during each calendar
month in agency mortgage-backed securities. Small deviations from these amounts
for operational reasons are acceptable.
The Committee also directs the Desk to engage in dollar roll and coupon
swap
transactions as necessary to facilitate settlement of the Federal Reserve's
agency mortgage-backed securities transactions.
-In a related action, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
voted unanimously to approve a 1-1/2 percentage point decrease in the primary
credit rate to 0.25 percent, effective March 16, 2020. In taking this action,
the Board approved requests to establish that rate submitted by the Boards of
Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Minneapolis and New York.
This information will be updated as appropriate to reflect decisions of the
Federal Open Market Committee or the Board of Governors regarding details of the
Federal Reserve's operational tools and approach used to implement monetary
policy.
More information regarding open market operations and reinvestments may be
found on the Federal Reserve Bank of New York's website.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: jean.yung@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MMUFE$,M$U$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.