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MNI TRANSCRIPT: Powell on Forward Guidance, Credit Facilities

     WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following is the portion of a transcript from
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference Wednesday:
     Q: You didn't firm up your guidance on interest rates at this meeting.
Given the risks that you outlined, under what circumstances would you strengthen
the fed's commitment to keep rates at the lower bound, and is there any danger
to delaying that pledge. On the credit facilities, what kind of demand are you
expecting for the programs that were set up under the cares act and are you
expecting them to rapidly reach capacity like the PPP plan did?
     A: On the first, as I mentioned, we moved very quickly, aggressively. We
were the first to return to the effective lower bound where we are now. We got
there essentially right away. We think that is the right place to be. We think
if you look at surveys, you look at market pricing, the market expects us to be
there for a good while, and that is appropriate. It's not as though the market
is pricing in a near term lift off or anything like that. Let me just say we are
going to not be in any hurry to withdraw these measures or lift off. We are
going to wait until we are quite confident that the economy is well on the road
to recovery. We don't see, we see our current stance, current guidance and the
same thing about asset purchases, we see them as appropriate. I've mentioned a
couple times that we have done a lot of thinking about what monetary policy
might look like over coming months, and that would depend on where we are in a
range of potential economic scenarios. We were thinking about that all the time.
But right now, for now, we think our current stance is appropriate. We made no
change in it today.
     Second question was, the thing about our facilities is treasury still has
plenty of equity. We have said that if demand for our facilities is greater than
we have estimated, then we will expand them. We have the ability to do that. It
won't be the way the paycheck protection program is where there is a specific
amount allocated appropriated for it, and then there is no more money. That will
be unlikely to happen unless we exhaust treasury's equity and we are a long way
from doing that. The second thing I would say, you have all seen this, is when
we announce these facilities, I mentioned in my remarks it's not just the actual
lending we do. We build confidence in the market, and private market
participants come in, and many companies that would have had to come to the fed
have now been able to finance themselves privately, since we announced the
initial term sheet on these facilities. That is a good thing. Companies are out
there financing, out there raising liquidity. We haven't made any corporate
loans, in those facilities. We made short term money market loans but we haven't
made any of them, and yet there is tremendous amount of financing going on. That
is a good thing. For that reason, the ultimate demand for the facilities is
quite difficult to predict because there is this announcement effect that really
gets the market functioning again. Of course we have to follow it through
though. And we will follow through to validate that announcement effect.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: evan.ryser@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MMUFE$,M$U$$$]

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