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MNI: UK Preliminary Data Survey - December Retail Sales

MNI (London)
By Jamie Satchithanantham
     LONDON (MNI) - A preliminary survey of analysts see retail sales
contracting by 0.8% m/m in December after a very strong "Black Friday"-enhanced
November showing. 
     The sector remains poised to contribute positively to fourth quarter GDP
growth and would have to fall by more than 3% m/m in December to not do so. 
------------------------------------------------------------
                             Dec           Dec           Dec
                    Retail Sales  Retail Sales  Retail Sales
                    Incl. Petrol  Incl. Petrol  Excl. Petrol
                           % MoM         % YoY         % MoM
Date Out                  19-Jan        19-Jan        19-Jan
Median                      -0.8           3.0          -0.6
Forecast High               -0.6           3.1           0.0
Forecast Low                -1.1           2.9          -1.0
Standard Deviation           0.2           0.1           0.5
Count                          5             3             3
Prior                        1.1           1.6           1.2
Capital Economics           -0.8           2.9           N/A
Commerzbank                 -1.1           N/A           N/A
Investec                    -0.6           3.0          -0.6
Nomura                       N/A           N/A           0.0
Nordea                       N/A           N/A           N/A
Oxford Economics            -0.6           3.1           N/A
UniCredit                   -1.0           N/A          -1.0
     This table will be updated Monday, January 15. 
--MNI London Bureau; +44 203-586-2226; email: jamie.satchithanantham@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MABDT$,M$B$$$,M$E$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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