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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI US CPI Preview: Core CPI Seen Holding Jan Pace After Historical Rally
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:
- Core CPI inflation is seen holding a 0.4% M/M clip for the third month running in February.
- It is however expected to have been boosted by a bounce in used car prices rather than more broad-based pressure, especially in light of a sizeable easing in supply chain pressures.
- Core non-housing services will again be in focus after moderating to a mixed extent in January, whilst OER and primary rents inflation are seen slowing slightly further.
- Powell had last week opened the door to a 50bp hike at the March FOMC, arguably dented after Friday’s payrolls report showed softer wage pressures despite continued surprise strength for payrolls growth. That already seems like a long time ago: a historical fixed income rally on regional bank contagion fears now sees only one more 25bp hike for the cycle priced, after a 100bp drop in 2Y Tsy yields in three days.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.