Free Trial

MNI US CPI Preview: Core CPI Seen Holding Stubbornly High

US

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY


  • Core CPI inflation is widely seen printing its fourth consecutive 0.4% handle after February’s 0.45% M/M.
  • Monthly core CPI should be lifted by a large decline for used car prices dropping out whilst there is broader uncertainty for airfares after prior surprising strength.
  • Core goods prices beyond used cars could offer some renewed disinflationary pressure after a recent improvement in supply chain pressures, but we suspect any continued stickiness in non-housing core services will dictate the market reaction ahead of the May FOMC, with an 18bp hike currently priced.
  • Please find the full report here.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.