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MNI UST Issuance Deep Dive: Nov 2022 - Refunding Preview

MNI UST Issuance Deep Dive: Nov 2022 - Refunding Preview

MNI UST Issuance Deep Dive: Nov 2022 - Refunding Preview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

  • Following 4 consecutive rounds of reductions, Treasury is widely expected to keep auction sizes basically unchanged in the upcoming quarter.
  • There are risks that there are reductions to 20Y Bond sizes, and increases to TIPS sizes.
  • The other main area of focus is on potential Treasury buybacks, but an announcement may have to wait until February at least.
  • Our Deep Dive includes an estimated U.S. issuance schedule, review of October's auctions, and sell-side Refunding expectations.

Please see PDF for full analysis:

MNI_US_DeepDive_Issuance_Nov2022.pdf


Figures in US$ B.Figures in US$ B.Source: US Treasury, MNI

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