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Morgan Stanley recommend a long.........>

EURO-DOLLAR
EURO-DOLLAR: Morgan Stanley recommend a long EUR/USD position, at market, with a
target of $1.1800 and stop of $1.1170.
- Morgan Stanley write "we like buying EURUSD this week. Optimism on growth in
the rest of the world rebounding should weaken USD and help EUR. Rebounding
China data should filter through to better Eurozone data over the coming months.
This could come through in this week's German April ZEW survey and Eurozone
April flash PMI, helped further by easing Brexit concerns and generally stronger
equity markets. While EUR offers low funding costs, it is the EUR-funding
related short positions which could push EUR higher as data improve. Over recent
days, German 5-year breakeven rates have caught up with the rise in US breakeven
rates, and EMU sovereign spreads have come in. This meets a market that is
positioned very short EUR and very long USD. The risk to this trade is a
downside surprise in Eurozone April data."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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