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MSCI EM FX Index Touches Lowest Level Since February

EMERGING MARKETS
While the greenback is trading on softer footing in the G10 space today, most EMEA currencies are still facing headwinds amid the more cautious market tone – though losses are more muted today than in previous sessions. Notably, the MSCI EM FX index down 0.20% today and recorded its lowest level since February earlier on in the session (see below).
  • The Hungarian forint, Polish zloty and South African rand have all recorded spot losses of over 1% against the dollar this week. In Latam, losses of the Mexican peso and Brazilian real stand at 1.56% and 1.60%, respectively.
  • In addition to the firmer greenback, concerns over a US government shutdown have weighed on risk sentiment. Yields on 10y US bonds reached fresh cycle highs today, while most major US and European equity indices have recently entered bullish phases. Furthermore, EM FX remains sensitive to developments regarding the Fed and ECB’s rate paths given their still relatively generous carry profiles.

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