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MXN Deterioration Extends, EURMXN (+1.77%) Rises To Four-Month High

MEXICO
  • USDMXN will extend its winning streak to five days on Monday as the move to the upside has been accelerating since late last week. After finding support at the 100-day moving average around 20.12, overall greenback strength has prompted a significant reaction in USDMXN, in the face of rising equity indices.
  • The deterioration in the Mexican peso has seen a sharp bid in EURMXN today, rising 1.77% and to a four-month high for the pair.
  • Last week's weaker-than-expected activity data, followed by a negative Q3 GDP print have bolstered MXN headwinds. The data does raise questions for a continued data-dependent central bank board – although the most recent inflation expectations will likely keep another quarter point hike as the most likely outcome from Banxico next week.
  • Developments to closely monitor as we approach the end of the year remain President AMLO's energy reform as well as the upcoming Banxico governorship transition

MNI/Bloomberg

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