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MXN sits just above the day's lows.....>

MEXICAN PESO
MEXICAN PESO: MXN sits just above the day's lows against the USD, with the
Mexican currency slipping in sympathy with what's expected to be a painful open
for the ARS following primary election results this weekend in which the current
President Macri surprisingly lost. Today's best levels of 19.7754 in USD/MXN
marks the best print since early June (just after Trump tariff tweets sent the
MXN spiralling) with 19.8799 the next target for USD/MXN bulls.
-Today's move in spot has helped underpin a rise in MXN implied vols, with the
1m measure rallying north of 11 points to fresh multi-month highs.
-Focus remains on the ARS open in just under 20 minutes, with moves there likely
to dictate sentiment toward broader LatAm FX.
-Regional sell side analysts already see the ARS falling at the open, with BTG
Pactual seeing USD/ARS rallying as much as 25% Monday. Similarly, analysts at
Amherst Pierpoint are warning that markets will likely panic.
-USD/ARS closed on Friday at 45.3134. A 25% drop in ARS would see the pair above
55.00, hitting fresh all time highs.

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