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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
SCOTLAND
The latest opinion poll on Scottish independence shows the narrowest lead for the 'Yes' to independence camp since May 2020.
- 'Should Scotland be an independent country?': Yes 43% (-2), No 42% (+2), Undecided 10%. Nov 6-10 (chgs w/6-10 Aug), YouGov. 1,089 respondents.
- The 1% lead for the Yes camp is the narrowest since a May opinion poll from Panelbase that showed the two sides tied.
- While the narrowing lead for 'Yes' will provide some relief to Westminster, there remains concern that if the pro-independence Scottish National Party win a majority in the Scottish parliament in next year's election, it could prove politically difficult to deny Scotland another referendum on independence.
- One of the major issues for the UK gov't is the unpopularity of PM Boris Johnson in Scotland. A poll by JL Partners last month showed 79% of swing voters agreeing with the statement "Boris Johnson is not the leader I want to have for my country".
Chart 1. Opinion Polling, 'Should Scotland be an independent country?', %
Source: YouGov, Survation, Panelbase, Ipsos/MORI, ComRes, JL Partners, Lord Ashcroft Polling, MNI. N.b. Each dot indicates one poll. Undecideds not shown.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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