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NATGAS: TTF Jumps on Gazprom 2025 Leaked Plans

NATGAS

Russia’s Gazprom is making the assumption no gas flows will go via Ukraine after Dec 31 in internal planning according to Reuters exclusive. 

  • TTF DEC 24 down -1.7% at 46.92€/MWh
  • TTF jumped higher on the headline despite this likely being the base case scenario for the European gas market at present.
  • The source said Russian gas exports to "far abroad" - Gazprom's term for Europe and Turkey, excluding ex-Soviet countries - are expected to fall by a fifth in 2025 to just below 39 billion cubic metres from more than 49 bcm expected this year due to the end of the Ukrainian route.
  • It is unlikely flows to Turkey will fall given its transit hub intentions. 
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Russia’s Gazprom is making the assumption no gas flows will go via Ukraine after Dec 31 in internal planning according to Reuters exclusive. 

  • TTF DEC 24 down -1.7% at 46.92€/MWh
  • TTF jumped higher on the headline despite this likely being the base case scenario for the European gas market at present.
  • The source said Russian gas exports to "far abroad" - Gazprom's term for Europe and Turkey, excluding ex-Soviet countries - are expected to fall by a fifth in 2025 to just below 39 billion cubic metres from more than 49 bcm expected this year due to the end of the Ukrainian route.
  • It is unlikely flows to Turkey will fall given its transit hub intentions.