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National Rally Projected To Win 235-265 Seats In National Assembly

FRANCE

Reuters reporting that, according to a new Harris Interactive Poll, the right-wing nationalist Rassembelement National (National Rally, RN) of Marine Le Pen is on track to win 235-265 seats in the French National Assembly at legislative elections to take place on 30 June and 7 July.

  • The polls finds that the ruling Ensemble alliance, led by French President Emmanuel Macron's Renaissance party, projected to win 125-155 seats.
  • French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire said in an interview today: “This will be the most consequential parliamentary election for France and for the French in the history of the Fifth Republic."
  • FT reports: "[France's] mainstream parties rejected Macron’s offer to form an alliance ahead of the snap parliamentary election... The centre-right Les Republicains said it was “out of the question to enter into a coalition with those who have so damaged France”. The long-fragmented factions on the left said they would seek to put together joint lists, but said no to working with Macron’s Renaissance party."

Figure 1: French National Assembly Seat Projection

Source: Harris Interactive

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