Free Trial

Natixis: Pay ECB April-24 OIS

STIR

Natixis write the mark’s ECB “rate cuts scenario for 2024 is now close to pricing 100bp which is not in line with our scenario (25bp cut in September ’24 with another 25bp cut in December ‘24).”

  • “We consider that 1) the market underestimates the risk of a longer disinflation process (especially in core HICP) that could force central banks on hold for longer (“higher for longer” scenario) and 2) has priced cuts too early.”
  • “Therefore, we recommend paying the April ECB meeting OIS.”
  • They issued the recommendation with the contract trading at 3.71%, targeting a move to 3.90%, with a stop set at 3.60%.”
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.