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NBH on Hold as Expected, 10Y Retracing Lower

HUNGARY
  • As expected, NBH left its base rate and deposit rate unchanged today at 0.6% and -0.05%, respectively.
  • On March 25, the NBH will hold a separate meeting for the decision on its 1W deposit rate, expected to remain unchanged at 0.75%.
  • However, some sell-side banks are expecting the NBH to increase its 1W depo rate in Q2 if the HUF weakness persists in the coming weeks, especially against the Euro. Market is currently watching the important resistance of 370 on EURHUF.
  • Hungary 10Y yield keeps retracing lower, falling (again) below its ST support at 2.70%, which represents its 50% Fibo retracement of the 1.47% - 3.9% range. Next support on the downside stands at 2.59%, followed by 2.53%. On the topside, first resistance stands at 2.80%, followed by 2.84%.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com

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