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No Sign Of End To Political Gridlock Should Snap Election Take Place

ISRAEL

Polling carried out yesterday in the wake of PM Naftali Bennett's gov't losing its majority in the Knesset shows that, if the results were reflected in a snap general election, Israel would remain in a state of political paralysis, with neither the pro- nor anti-Benjamin Netanyahu camps able to form a majority gov't. Below we have taken the seat projection polling from three separate outlets and compiled them into pro and anti-Netanyahu groups.

  • Israel, Camil Fuchs seat projection: Pro-Netanyahu: 60 (+8), Anti-Netanyahu: 54 (-8), Joint List: 6 (=) +/- vs. Last Election. Fieldwork: 6 April 2022. Sample size: 706
  • Midgam seat projection: Pro-Netanyahu: 56 (+4), Anti-Netanyahu: 58 (-4), Joint List: 6 (=). +/- vs. Last Election.
    Fieldwork: 6 April 2022.Sample size: 510
  • KANTAR MEDIA seat projection: Pro-Netanyahu: 58 (+6), Anti-Netanyahu: 56 (-6), Joint List: 6 (=). +/- vs. Last Election. Fieldwork: 6 April 2022. Sample size: 550

A total of 61 seats are required for a majority in the 120-member Knesset. Without at least one party shifting from one camp to the other, or the Arab-interest Joint List parties siding with the anti-Netanyahu camp (the prospect of them joining in the gov't with Likud is minimal), then Israel could be set for a lengthy spell of snap elections followed by inconclusive coalition negotiations, as was the case from 2019-2021.

EM BulletHomepagemarkets-real-timePolitical Market NewsPolitical RiskPolitical Risk BulletBulletEmerging Market News
EM BulletHomepagemarkets-real-timePolitical Market NewsPolitical RiskPolitical Risk BulletBulletEmerging Market News

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