May 17, 2024 12:16 GMT
Nomura: Resilient Data Warrant Caution, Drop Call For July Cut
ECB VIEW
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Nomura have changed their ECB view, removing expectations for a 25bp cut in July. However, they maintain their terminal rate call of 2.50%.
- They now look for 25bp cuts in June, September, and December of this year, with further 25bp cuts in March, June and September of next year.
- In terms of drivers of the view change, they flag “the labour market and wages have been resilient, services inflation is sticky, economic growth is strengthening and ECB-speak has turned more hawkish.”
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