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Nov Export Growth Slows In First 20-days, But Detail Looks Solid

SOUTH KOREA

South Korea's first 20-days of trade data for November has printed. Exports were +2.2% y/y, a down step from the pace of recent months (+9.7%y/y in September and +4.6%y/y in October). In daily average terms exports were +2.2% y/y, also down from the October pace of 8.6% y/y. This suggests some slowing in total month y/y export growth, see the chart below.

  • Looking at the detail, chip exports were +2.4% y/y (we were -6.4% last month for the first 20-days), so well above the trough point from earlier in 2023. By county, exports to the US remained resilient at +15.7% y/y. China remained a drag but at -2.4%, we were also above earlier trough points.
  • Imports were -6.2%y/y, versus close to flat in the first 20-days of Oct. The trade deficit was -$1.42bn, also an improvement on the prior period (-$3.75bn).

Fig 1: South Korea Export Growth Slowed Modestly In November, But Stayed Positive

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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