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NY Fed Study Suggests Limited Infl Expectation De-Anchoring

FED

A NY Fed blog post out today alongside the bank's latest Survey of Consumer Expectations (see our Policy Team's writeup, which includes color on the drop in inflation expectations) argues that the ongoing bout of high U.S. inflation will not de-anchor long-term consumer expectations.

  • That's a pretty key argument to those advocating a gradual approach to monetary tightening. That may well include NY Fed Pres Williams, who was a co-author on this blog post - so it merits a read.
  • Their findings "indicate that consumers ... seem to recognize the unusual nature of the current inflation experience... are taking less signal than before the pandemic from inflation news in updating their longer-term expectations, and that they do not view the current elevated inflation as very long-lasting."

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