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NZD/USD last seen at $0.6412, slightly lower...>

KIWI
KIWI: NZD/USD last seen at $0.6412, slightly lower on the day. New Zealand's Q3
retail sales ex inflation came out in the NY/Asia crossover, accelerating more
than expected to +1.6% Q/Q from +0.2%.
- The local retail sales data put a fresh bid into NZD just ahead of yesterday's
close, allowing NZD/USD to close in positive territory. This was after the rate
has already shaken off its initial gains, registered on the back of China's
pledge to tackle IP violations.
- A drop under the $0.6400 mark would draw attention to the trendline support at
$0.6374. Conversely, bulls remain focused on the nearby 100-DMA, which today
intersects at $0.6425. Above would clear the way to the Nov 4 peak at $0.6466.
- Of note on the local docket during the remainder of this week are trade
balance (Wednesday), ANZ biz. conf. (Thursday), as well as ANZ cons. conf. &
building permits (Friday). The RBNZ will publish its FSR tomorrow, which will be
followed by a presser with Gov Orr.

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