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NZGBS: Cheaper, Narrow Ranges, NZGB Issuance Re-Starts Tomorrow

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NZGBs closed 2-3bps cheaper and above session lows. The ranges were however relatively narrow, with domestic drivers light on the ground outside of the previously outlined card spending and CoreLogic house prices.

  • For that reason, it is best to view today’s session as being driven by US tsys NY close yesterday and today’s Asia-Pac dealings. Cash bonds are dealing little changed in today’s Asia-Pac session after early weakness. Yesterday, US tsys bear-steepened after Fed Waller pushed back against aggressive rate cut expectations.
  • Outside NZ, there has been little meaningful newsflow in today's session, apart from China's data drop that showed slightly weaker than expected Q4 GDP. It failed to be a market mover.
  • Swap rates closed 1bp lower to 3bps higher, with the 2s10s curve steeper.
  • RBNZ dated OIS pricing is flat to 1bp higher. A cumulative 98bps of easing is priced by year-end.
  • Tomorrow, the local calendar sees REINZ House Sales and Food Prices.
  • Tomorrow, the NZ Treasury plans to sell NZ$275mn of the 0.25% May-28 bond, NZ$175mn of the 3.5% Apr-33 bond and NZ$50mn of the 2.75% Apr-37 bond.

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