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NZGBs: Cheaper Start

BONDS

NZGB's have opened dealing ~6bps cheaper across the major benchmarks. This occurred after US Tsys reversed post-CPI gains to finish ~9bps cheaper across the curve as rate cut expectations for 2023 were trimmed back.

  • Swaps have opened a touch higher across the curve, the 2s10s spread a touch flatter.
  • RBNZ dated OIS are stable, pricing a terminal rate of ~5.63%.
  • On the wires today we have Q1 Balance of Payments, a deficit of $6.85bn is expected. May Food Prices also cross, there is no estimate for the print.
  • Looking ahead tomorrow we have Q1 GDP, a print of -0.1% Q/Q is expected.

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