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Policy
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Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
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Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
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Global Macro
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Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Real-time Actionable Insight
Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI UST Issuance Deep Dive: Dec 2024
MNI US Employment Insight: Soft Enough To Keep Fed Cutting
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Jobs Data Green Lights Rate Cuts
NZGBS: Closed Slightly Richer Ahead Of US Payrolls Later Today
NZGBs closed well off session cheaps, 2-3bps richer across benchmarks. With the domestic calendar empty, local participants were content to sit on the sidelines ahead of US Non-Farm Payrolls later today.
- Bloomberg consensus sees payroll growth of 200k for February, but two-month revisions will likely be closely watched. Please find the MNI's Preview here.
- Swap rates closed 5-7bps lower, with implied swaps spreads 3-4bps tighter.
- RBNZ dated OIS pricing closed flat to 4bps softer across meetings, with Feb-25 leading. A cumulative 55bps of easing is priced by year-end.
- Recently released quarterly indicators that feed into Q4 GDP have resulted in BNZ Economics nudging up its estimate to +0.1%. Against strong population growth of 0.6% for the quarter, this would represent another significant contraction in GDP per capita, with the economy experiencing conditions similar to the depths of the GFC on this basis.
- Next week, the local calendar sees Card Spending on Tuesday, Food Prices on Wednesday, Net Migration on Thursday and BusinessNZ Manufacturing PMI on Friday.
- Also, RBNZ Governor, Adrian Orr and Chief Economist, Paul Conway will speak about the February Monetary Policy Statement at separate events over 12-14 March 2024.
To read the full story
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.