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OI Points To Dominant Short Setting In SOFR Whites & Reds Post-Payrolls

STIR

Friday’s payroll-inspired weakness on the SOFR strip, coupled with preliminary OI data, points to short setting as the dominant positioning factor into the weekend, with the degree of Fed cuts priced into markets moderating post-payrolls.

  • SFRH5 was the only contract that seemed to experience net long cover through the reds.
  • Beyond there, the greens saw little net OI change, with short setting and long cover essentially offsetting.
  • Meanwhile, long cover seemed to dominate in the blues.
  • A reminder that long setting had been the dominant positioning theme over the last few weeks or so, given quirks in the very front end of the strip (surrounding month-end fixings) and dovish repricing re: Fed expectations.
08-Dec-2307-Dec-23Daily OI ChangeDaily OI Change In Packs
SFRU31,175,6531,161,738+13,915Whites+66,408
SFRZ31,530,1961,502,008+28,188Reds+62,265
SFRH41,112,0721,100,122+11,950Greens+811
SFRM41,001,993989,638+12,355Blues-5,965
SFRU4906,312898,581+7,731
SFRZ4987,262947,142+40,120
SFRH5557,384558,029-645
SFRM5606,113591,054+15,059
SFRU5603,119607,870-4,751
SFRZ5562,184557,837+4,347
SFRH6413,367412,541+826
SFRM6369,130368,741+389
SFRU6319,096321,732-2,636
SFRZ6245,874248,317-2,443
SFRH7149,858149,774+84
SFRM7140,738141,708-970
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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