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OIL: Disappointing China Fiscal Outlook Weighs On Crude, Iran Still Market Focus

OIL

Oil prices have fallen today after rallying close to 4% on Monday driven by concern over a possible Israeli attack on Iranian oil infrastructure. Today commodities weakened as comments from China’s NDRC disappointed as they were short on details, although it will quicken fiscal spending. WTI is down 1.6% to $75.93/bbl, off the intraday low of $75.36, while Brent is back below $80 at $79.71/bbl (-1.5%) after a low of $79.18. The USD index is down slightly.

  • The situation in the Middle East could easily reverse today’s losses though. There were no signs of a reduction in fighting yesterday with rocket attacks on Israel from Iran-backed Hamas, Hizbullah and Yemen’s Houthis, while Israel struck southern Lebanon and Gaza.
  • Markets are concerned that following Iran’s attack on Israel last week, that the OPEC member will become more involved in the conflict thus risking supplies. A third of global oil output comes from the Middle East.
  • Later the Fed’s Kugler, Bostic and Collins and ECB’s de Guindos, Schnabel and McCaul speak. In terms of data, US August trade and German August IP print. There is also industry-based US oil inventory data.
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Oil prices have fallen today after rallying close to 4% on Monday driven by concern over a possible Israeli attack on Iranian oil infrastructure. Today commodities weakened as comments from China’s NDRC disappointed as they were short on details, although it will quicken fiscal spending. WTI is down 1.6% to $75.93/bbl, off the intraday low of $75.36, while Brent is back below $80 at $79.71/bbl (-1.5%) after a low of $79.18. The USD index is down slightly.

  • The situation in the Middle East could easily reverse today’s losses though. There were no signs of a reduction in fighting yesterday with rocket attacks on Israel from Iran-backed Hamas, Hizbullah and Yemen’s Houthis, while Israel struck southern Lebanon and Gaza.
  • Markets are concerned that following Iran’s attack on Israel last week, that the OPEC member will become more involved in the conflict thus risking supplies. A third of global oil output comes from the Middle East.
  • Later the Fed’s Kugler, Bostic and Collins and ECB’s de Guindos, Schnabel and McCaul speak. In terms of data, US August trade and German August IP print. There is also industry-based US oil inventory data.