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Free AccessOil Ending Week Grinding Higher, Gold Under USD Pressure And Gas Slumping
- Crude oil has lifted today with optimism surrounding the chances of raising the US debt limit and avoiding a default, chipping away yesterday’s slide.
- Markets are also weighing up the possibility of further production cuts after differing signs from Russia and Saudi Arabia. Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister Novak yesterday said that OPEC+ are unlikely to adjust targets at the 3-4 June meeting however the Saudi Energy Minister sent a warning to oil speculators earlier this week giving support to prices.
- WTI is +1.0% at $72.52, not troubling resistance at the 50-day EMA of $74.31. Ahead of next week's OPEC meeting and a Memorial Day-shortened week, $82/bbl calls have lead today's options activity in the CLN3.
- Brent is +0.7% at $76.77, not troubling resistance at the 50-day EMA of $78.46.
- Gold is +0.2% at $1944.7, with a paring of earlier larger gains as the USD index rebounded after a swathe of stronger than expected US data.
- In gas space, European prices have seen their eighth consecutive weekly loss for month-ahead contracts in the longest run of weekly losses since 2007, as economic activity shows few signs of meaningful recovery. Bloomberg reports that the situation has raised concerns that some demand for gas might now be permanently lost or substituted after last year’s record prices hit manufacturers particularly hard. Fuller-than-average gas inventories, mild weather and an abundance of liquefied natural gas have also lowered demand, raising questions about how much lower prices can go before producers start curbing output.
- Weekly moves: WTI +1.45%, Brent +1.65%, Gold -1.7%, US nat gas -14.2%, EU TTF nat gas -18.7%.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.