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Oil Market Deficit More Than 2mbpd in 2H: Bloomberg

OIL

OPEC+ output cuts and the Saudi Arabia and Russia cut extensions to year-end suggest a widening oil-market deficit of more than 2mbpd in 2H according to Bloomberg analysis.

  • Higher potential flows from Iran and Venezuela could yield more supply but a likely substantial inventory depletion forms a constructive price backdrop.
  • The near-term oil-demand outlook remains unclear due to macroeconomic uncertainty and recessionary concerns, but consumption is still widely expected to increase in 2H.
  • Pressure may mount on OPEC+ to reverse some of the cuts if a recession doesn’t result in a notable drop in demand and causes an undersupply.


Source: Bloomberg

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