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Oil Mid-Day Summary: Crude Eases Back

OIL

Front month Brent crude has eased back, settling earlier and yesterday’s gains driven by reports of supply disruptions in Libya and Nigeria, while a higher US dollar also offered some downside. European diesel spreads posted gains amid reports that the pipeline to Shell’s Pernis refinery suffered a leak this morning in addition to existing supply disruptions in Germany.

  • Protests in Libya on Thursday shut El Feel field (approx 60kbpd). Protest also gradually halted output at the Sharara oil field starting Thursday evening. Output fully halted last night (approx. 300kbpd).
  • Shell confirmed it suspended loadings at Nigeria’s Forcados crude oil terminal since Wednesday evening after workers observed fumes.
  • Brent SEP 23 down -0.1% at 81.27$/bbl
  • WTI AUG 23 down -0.1% at 76.8$/bbl
  • A total of 530kbbls of open August 23 options positions on CME and ICE are due to expire against the July future close on Monday. Current aggregate open interest is 279k calls and 251k puts. The open interest across all WTI options on both exchanges is currently 1.69m calls and 1.13m puts. Most of the significant options positions around the current market prices are on the calls side with the biggest strikes of interest just below the current price at 76$/bbl and 75$/bbl.
  • China’s state-run oil refiners raised run rates to the highest since Nov 2021 by 2.16ppt WoW to 80.06% as of 13 July.
  • OPEC+ has scheduled its next JMMC meeting for 3 August via videoconference.
  • European diesel spreads gains ground today after a local newspaper reported a leakage at the pipeline to Shell’s Pernis refinery close to Rotterdam. In recent weeks European refineries reported several disruptions to supply. The halt to the Shell Wesseling refinery for five days from 20 July was latest outage reported, adding to disrupted wholesale supplies from two other German oil refineries this month.
  • Gasoil AUG 23 up 1.1% at 764.25$/mt
  • Gasoil AUG 23-SEP 23 up 0.75$/mt at 5.75$/mt
  • Gasoil DEC 23-DEC 24 up 2.5$/mt at 36$/mt
  • EU Gasoil-Brent up 0.8$/bbl at 20.53$/bbl

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