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Oil Slides On SPR Release, Gas Prices On Ruble Plan

COMMODITIES
  • Oil prices are down sharply after Biden announced plans to release 1 million barrels of oil per day for up to 180 days from the SPR, widening the Brent-WTI spread in the process.
  • Rystad notes that whilst the SPR has the technical capability to release 4mbpd, the maximum seen over the past twenty years has been about 900kbpd.
  • OPEC+ ratified a 432kbpd increase scheduled for May, in line with expectations.
  • European natural gas prices meanwhile increased 5%, with an intraday move closer to 10%, after Putin signed an order that if EU buyers don’t make gas payments in rubles, shipments will be stopped from tomorrow, April 1.
  • WTI is -6.8% at $100.5, close to testing support at Tuesday’s low of $98.44 as it pulls back further from resistance at yesterday’s high of $108.75.
  • Brent is -5.4% at $107.3, above initial support of $104.84 (Mar 28 low) whilst resistance remains $114.83 (Mar 29 high).
  • Gold is +0.5% at $1942.44, moving closer to resistance of $1966.1 (Mar 24 high) whilst support remains at $1890.2 (Mar 29 low).

Oil and gold divergenceSource: Bloomberg

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