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Oil War-Risk Premium Evaporates: Bloomberg

OIL

The war-risk premium in the oil market has virtually disappeared, according to Bloomberg, as the price of bullish call options is no longer above that of put options.

  • Options encountered a call skew following the outbreak of war between Israel and Hamas. However, this has since abated as the war appears to be contained to Gaza, rather than sparking a regional conflict.
  • The price of puts, allowing traders to hedge against falling prices, has become more expensive, Bloomberg added.
  • Crude futures have also receded from their prices spikes at the beginning of the war, although larger jumps in prices were observed in the options market as traders looked to insure against an adverse disruption to supply.
  • Instead, a weak demand outlook continues to be outweighing any bullish sentiment.

Source: Bloomberg

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