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OIL: WTI/Brent Narrows on Curtailed Supply and Strong Demand at Cushing: Sparta

OIL

The WTI/Brent spread has been narrowing as WTI in Cushing prices higher on curtailed supply and strong regional demand, according to Sparta Commodities.

  • PADD-3 intakes were hit less than expected from Hurricane Beryl, and crude exports saw little reduction.
  • The narrowing WTI/Brent spread was expected to negatively impact the relative economics for WTI. However, the US remains the cheapest source of West of Suez light-sweet crude for Asia due to softer prompt FOB prices for waterborne WTI and due to higher North Sea and WAF crude markets.
  • Physical differentials for WTI and freight loading from USGC could pick up with WTI attractive to ship both East and West.
  • Cushing inventory draws are expected to continue through the summer amid WTI curve backwardation.
  • North Sea could strengthen through the remainder of Q3. Johan Sverdrup remains a sought-after grade for buyers in the East when the opportunity arises.

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