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On Wednesday RBC "revised down our.....>

AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: On Wednesday RBC "revised down our AU bond yield forecasts largely
extending our key fixed income strategy of recent years as we look for further
AU cross market performance and a well anchored front end aside from periods of
funding stress. With the RBA set to remain on hold for longer, our RBA/FF's
profile now moves further negative for longer underpinning a revised 10y AU/US
target of -60bp in H119. Accordingly, we retain our 5y/5y AU/CA IRS tightener
and pull in the stop, take early profit on our received 3y EFP position, and
close out our ACGB 3/10s steepener for a small loss. Some underperformance of
the ACGB 2047s recently looks opportune and we enter a long 30y AU/US position.
The AU repo market saw another large rise in activity, but interestingly some of
the rise in offshore borrowing has been offset by greater lending via
reverse-repos. News that Labor would commit to a 75c GST floor provides a good
reason to lean against recent underperformance. We enter a WATC Oct-22s vs ACGB
Jul-22s narrower at 36.75bps."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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