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Free AccessOnce again majority of the move........>
GILT SUMMARY: Once again majority of the move lower happened at start of London
session as optimism on Brexit talks moving onto the nest stage notched higher,
however Gilts did find some support on soft Eurozone CPI. Yield curve is
slightly steeper as ultra long-end underperforms.
- 2-yr Gilt yield is +0.8bp at 0.535%, 5-yr +0.8bp at 0.840%, 10-yr +1.1bp at
1.363% and 30-yr +1.7bp at 1.912% according to Tradeweb.
- The pieces of the first phase of the Brexit negotiations seem to be coming
together ahead of key May/Juncker meeting on Monday which is hoped with give the
EU confidence that sufficient progress has been made so that talks can move onto
a transitional agreement and then quickly onto a trade deal.
- Gilt real yields have underperformed nominals with the 5-yr seen suffering the
most once again, likely weighed by expectation inflation will faded as Sterling
continues to strengthen against US Dollar and Euro. 5-yr breakevens are 4.2bp
tighter at 2.92% (fresh 3-month low) and adds to the 3.2bp tightening seen
yesterday.
- Swap spreads are tighter as well, led by 2bp fall in 15yr to 30-yr sector.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.