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Free AccessOPEC+ Faces 5-Year Fight to Avoid Price Meltdown
OPEC+ will need to carefully control prices for another five years to prevent a “meltdown” in prices, according to Rapidan Energy Group, cited by Bloomberg.
- “Soggy fundamentals will require effective OPEC+ supply management over the next five to keep oil prices in an $80-$100 range,” Rapidan said. “We assume OPEC+ will successfully manage the market in the run-up to tighter conditions later this decade.”
- The rapid growth in non-OPEC supply will put pressure on OPEC in the coming years, despite peak oil demand not expected for another decade.
- It estimates that non-OPEC growth will be around 0.7m b/d each year to 2030.
- OPEC, with 5m b/d of spare capacity – around 5% of global supply - must therefore calibrate its return carefully, Rapidan said.
- This will be possible after 2030, when non-OPEC growth will slow and markets tighten, it said.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.