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Orange Hybrid FV

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  • IPT given at 5% to 5.125%; with a 7yr swap of ~2.63% this equates to MS+237 to MS+250
  • We see FV around MS+210 which gives a yield of around 4.70-4.75%
  • Orange last issued a hybrid in April 2023 in a EUR 1bn PerpNC7 deal that issued at a yield of 5.5% having tightened from IPT of 6%a. Cover was 4x.
  • Expect this deal to perform well; BI make the good point that IG hybrids are rare in this space and we feel Orange’s prudent financial policy adherence makes this name an attractive place to move down the liability structure in pursuit of yield.

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